Opinion Monger
"Adversus solem ne loquitor"
Sunday, July 04, 2010
Saturday, July 03, 2010
Boys and their toys
The Wall Street Journal had a fun article yesterday about strategy gaming highlighting a new video game Making History 2: War of the World that descends from a long line of strategy board games. My favorite as a child was Risk
I know it wasn't as complex as Diplomacy
or Axis & Allies
but you could explain it to newbies and start a game quickly. The Journal has a theory about why these types of games both digital and traditional board games have remained so popular.
that comes out in the fall.
The reason Axis & Allies and other such games have such lasting resonance is that they teach a subject which is no longer fashionable: the mechanics of military history.I'm note sure about Making History 2 its getting mixed reviews online but I'm excited about Sid Meier's Civilization V
Friday, July 02, 2010
I'm from the Government and I'm here to help!
The Oil keeps spewing in the Gulf and the clean up seems to be dragging on and on with no sense of urgency. The Christian Science Monitor identifies the top 5 bottlenecks.
This is insane! After a month, the damage has been done the wildlife has been destroyed. The EPA helped exacerbate the largest Environmental disaster in American history.
- Coast Guard red tape
- The Jones Act
- EPA
- Lack of coordination between skippers and spotter plans
- Lack of leadership from the Feds.
"Three days after the accident, the Dutch government offered advanced skimming equipment capable of sucking up oiled water, separating out most of the oil, and returning the cleaner water to the Gulf. But citing discharge regulations that demand that 99.9985 percent of the returned water is oil-free, the EPA initially turned down the offer. A month into the crisis, the EPA backed off those regulations, and the Dutch equipment was airlifted to the Gulf."
This is insane! After a month, the damage has been done the wildlife has been destroyed. The EPA helped exacerbate the largest Environmental disaster in American history.
Labels:
BP,
Environment,
EPA,
government,
leadership,
oil spill
GE CEO Immelt slams Obama
According to the financial times Immet was addressing a group of Italian CEOs.
"Mr Immelt also had harsh words for Barack Obama, US president, lamenting what he called a “terrible” national mood and expressing concern that over-regulation in response to the global financial crisis would damp a “tepid” US economic recovery. Business did not like the US president, and the president did not like business, he said, making a point of praising Angela Merkel, Germany’s chancellor, for her defence of German industry."He latter hedged his comments by stating they were made at a private dinner and taken out of context. Its understandable that he didn't want to expose GE to the ire of this administrations overzealous regulators, but we need more leaders to speak out and explain why a new course is needed.
Labels:
Angela Merkel,
corporations,
Economy,
Europe,
GE,
leadership,
Obama
Respect and Leadership
Leaders are not born they are made. The private sector understands this lesson. Look at all emphasis companies place developing their people.
"If our country is going to get back on track, we need to redevelop confidence in and respect for our leaders and institutions. This means first and foremost electing and appointing people who command this respect by virtue of their bona fide achievements and not simply their paper credentials. In recent years, far too many people with prestigious degrees and titles have made far too many horrible decisions that have caused great harm to Americans everywhere. We need people who have shown through their actual performance in business, the military, government or academia (preferably in multiple areas that pertain to the problems we face) that they can and will handle pressure and act at all times with integrity and good judgment. "Great credentials might get your foot in the door, but you have to produce. Those achievements help earn you the respect of your peers. It is this accrued respect you leverage when making the tough calls as a leader.
People who disagree with you still execute because they respect your judgment enough to give your plan a chance.
Contrast the private sector with Washington today:
• We currently see a Supreme Court nominee with virtually no experience in the law, outside academia and the White House, and none as a judge.
• We have the ranking Republican on the Senate Judiciary Committee considering the Elena Kagan nomination focusing ad nauseam on her handling of the gays in the military issue years ago at Harvard Law School, and largely disregarding issues that are of real significance to Americans today -- such as her views on the implications of the Constitution's Commerce Clause for the new health care law.
• In House hearings on the Gulf of Mexico oil spill, we have noted experts in petroleum engineering -- Reps. Henry Waxman and Edward Markey -- making determinations as to which well-drilling method was preferable.
• We have a treasury secretary with no private sector experience and who had trouble filing an accurate tax return.
• And last year we saw our president -- with no experience running a business -- deciding to oust the CEO of General Motors.
Thursday, July 01, 2010
The Business Perspective on Dodd-Frank
Not a real shocker here it's a disaster that will create all sorts of compliance nightmares, and reduce US competitiveness vs overseas banking hubs like London and Zurich. Worst of all it totally ignores Freddie and Fannie.
"Today, Fannie and Freddie are larger and weaker than ever, accounting for some 95% of all newly-written mortgages, and representing a $5 trillion asset base that, investors understand, is now fully if implicitly guaranteed by US taxpayers. US housing is still in such a fragile state that Congress dared not expose Fannie and Freddie to market forces or to force them to restructure. From September 2008 until today, they’ve sucked down about $145 billion in bailout funds, and each continues to lose about $10 billion per quarter. This is the ongoing cost to taxpayers of artificially supporting US housing. Nothing has changed, and the abusive and hyper-risky behaviors of the bubble years continue to this day, albeit in attenuated form."Wonderful, Washington imposes massive regulation that it admits no one understands, grabs even more power and ignore key culprits in the crisis. Then it has the audacity to call it Reform!
One way to solve the Immigration crises
Wall Street Journal: Spanish Downturn Sparks Immigrant Exodus
When Spain's construction-dependant economy cratered amid the global financial crisis, the government sharply curtailed foreign-worker recruitment programs, limited family reunifications and stiffened penalties on employers of illegal immigrants. Spain created a Voluntary Return Program, paying accumulated unemployment benefits as an incentive to get legal immigrants to go home.
Immigrants have borne the brunt of job losses and their unemployment rate has shot up to 30%, from 12% in 2007, compared with the 20% national average.
Ecuadoran fisherman Gustavo Luzuriaga had been in Spain seven years, but he returned home last year after he couldn't find work on a boat. "Everything had gone sour there, and there was not much hope for the future," he said.
Immigrants come to a new country because they seek opportunity driven by the demand for their labor. We often loose sight of this fact when discussing the issue here in America. Most of the debate is centered around language and culture. But it's often superficial I'm not concerned if people enjoy soccer and eat burritos but rather if they subscribe to the American tradition of liberty and are willing to work to become productive citizens.
I do think its important to enforce the law but lets ensure the law meets the needs of the country. We shouldn't force talented engineers educated in American universities to migrate to Canada or Australia if they are willing to pledge the fidelity to the republic. Nor should we allow crops to rot in the fields or migrants trampling private property in boarder communities when when we could create an orderly process. What we desperately need in Washington is leadership and debate that is not focused on platitudes and fear.
Obama too brilliant to fail
The immovable object is the conviction on the part of some who are also his critics that he is the smartest man who has ever held office, and is therefore too brilliant to fail. Citing his "shimmering intellect," Richard Cohen is at a loss to explain why he hasn't done anything with it.Intelligence is not synonymous with leadership. Leadership it is character based and acquired through experience no one is born with the skill. Looking at Obama's background we scant examples of any leadership. His academic records from Columbia & Harvard are sealed. His stint as a community organizer didn't involved managing or directing large scale project but mostly sitting in meeting's and delivering speeches. As a State Senator he mostly voted present and avoided tough issues. Ditto for Senator Obama who's years were spent mostly campaigning for President. So now here we are at present day and his policy's have not worked.
An irresistible force is meeting an immovable object on the field of perception, and causing an odd sort of storm. The irresistible force is the growing idea that Obama has failed as a leader on a number of items: "Engagement" has failed; our allies are angry; the oil keeps gushing, his ideas are job killers; the recession goes on.
His party lost three big elections under his guidance and seems poised for a drubbing. The harder he pushes the country's laws leftward, the more its politics bend to the right.
Clearly we need to change course and I think the country will do so in November.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Why Obamanomics has failed
In short Obama's undermining of property rights is creating tremendous uncertainty. Ok we know tax increases, government spending and superseding bankruptcy laws on a whim is bad policy but what should he be doing?
The contrast with President Reagan's antirecession and pro-growth measures in 1981 is striking. Reagan reduced marginal and corporate tax rates and slowed the growth of nondefense spending. Recovery began about a year later. After 18 months, the economy grew more than 9% and it continued to expand above trend rates.Cut spending and taxes is simple concept but tough to implement when your campaign was heavily funded and promoted by the public sector unions. So the substance is unlikely to change but even the rhetoric is wrong.
Second, the administration and Congress have through their deeds and words heightened uncertainty about the economic future. High uncertainty is the enemy of investment and growth.This uncertainty comes from Obamacare and Cap & Trade.
Mr. Obama has denied the cost burden on business from his health-care program, but business is aware that it is likely to be large. How large? That's part of the uncertainty that employers face if they hire additional labor. The president asks for cap and trade. That's more cost and more uncertainty. Who will be forced to pay? What will it do to costs here compared to foreign producers? We should not expect businesses to invest in new, export-led growth when uncertainty about future costs is so large.Let's hope after November Obama changes course.
Pajamas Media » Would a Tehran ‘No Fly’ Zone Work?
This is an excellent idea.
A no-fly zone is the legal equivalent of a naval blockade, but it can be used selectively to stop all military flights and all rocket launches. Because all of Iran’s neighbors are now on 15-minute notice against massive missile attacks with an expanding target radius that will soon encompass Europe and the United States, the crucial point is to stop Iran’s missiles from being launched in the first place. If someone is pointing a gun at your heart, make sure they aren’t able to pull the trigger.The Obama administration has been reluctant to be perceived as meddling in the middle east, the progressive orthodoxy has a knee jerk hostility to the US asserting its interests. But this could be sold as means of supporting the Green Revolution bringing about a new Iran that recognizes it's citizen's human rights and unclenches it's fist in dealing with it's neighbors.
Tuesday, June 29, 2010
Unions face opposition from long time allies
Even their most ardent supports are coming to realize the present state of public sector unions is not sustainable.
At the local level they can't print money and they have reached the limits of borrowing. So the question becomes what is the union strategy if everyone can see the writings on the wall? I think the plan is to delay the day of reckoning while pushing for a bail out from the feds, hoping to leverage those campaign contributions in 08.
For decades, many state and city politicians, especially Democratic ones, helped assure their re-election by cozying up to public-sector unions and benefiting from their campaign dollars and precinct walkers. Prior to their current jobsThis bitter irony is born out of necessity local & state governments have ran out of money.
"I'm getting branded as an antilabor person by the public employee unions, which amazes me because I've spent my lifetime doing right by working men and women," said Mr. Sweeney,Fortunately for Mr. Sweeney the visceral reaction of the unions will be perceived as an asset by the majority of voters in a general election. The trick for these new blue dog Democrates is surviving their primaries. The unions & net roots will ruthlessly be targeting any heretics.
At the local level they can't print money and they have reached the limits of borrowing. So the question becomes what is the union strategy if everyone can see the writings on the wall? I think the plan is to delay the day of reckoning while pushing for a bail out from the feds, hoping to leverage those campaign contributions in 08.
SANTELLI TO GOVERNMENT: STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! STOP SPENDING! 6-...
Santelli speaks the truth again
Monday, June 28, 2010
Does the Tim Scott, Nikki Haley Revolution signal a big shift nationally?
South Carolina: Outlier or National Precursor?
Interesting article that seems to suggest yes, what is happening in South Carolina does have national implications. Both Tim Scott & Nikki Haley are impressive candidates that have the potential to be stars on the national stage. Even more importantly in terms of November if the voters of a 1 party state that almost habitually resists change like S.C. are feed up its an important barometer of the mood nationally.
Interesting article that seems to suggest yes, what is happening in South Carolina does have national implications. Both Tim Scott & Nikki Haley are impressive candidates that have the potential to be stars on the national stage. Even more importantly in terms of November if the voters of a 1 party state that almost habitually resists change like S.C. are feed up its an important barometer of the mood nationally.
Appetite for Profit: All Aboard for Ice Cream: Nestle Peddling Junk Food on Amazon River to Reach Brazil's Slums
Some progressive foodies are incessant about Nestle selling their product in remote areas in the amazon it posted the comment bellow:
The arrogance here is stunning, poverty is preferable to development.
"The Swiss company has a team of 7,000 saleswomen who peddle packs of Nestle goods door-to-door in Brazilian slums."
A company makes a investment in a poor rural area, trains a work force providing jobs and innovates a distribution method to deliver the new product and you sanctimoniously declare it an outrage. I guess only food lawyers have the wisdom and insight to know what’s good for the people, they couldn’t possibly make the choice themselves.
The arrogance here is stunning, poverty is preferable to development.
The Founding Father vs. Progressives
Michael Barone underscores the point that property rights are essential to keeping the government from morphing into a kleptocracy.
The whole impetus of the Obama agenda has been to weaken property rights and increase govt redistribution of wealth, the very antithesis of what the founders advocated. Fortunately the American people reject this.
The whole impetus of the Obama agenda has been to weaken property rights and increase govt redistribution of wealth, the very antithesis of what the founders advocated. Fortunately the American people reject this.
"So when Susan Roesgen, then of CNN, upbraided a tea party protester in 2009 by reminding him that he was getting a $400 tax rebate thanks to the Democrats' stimulus package, she was met with utter dismissal. You don't sell out your property rights for a mere $400."
G20's deaf ear towards Obama
Why aren't the Europeans listening to the US's call to continue "stimulating" the economy through massive deficit spending? The obvious wrong headedness of was never an obstacle in the past, but the difference this time is Greece.
The sovereign debt crises has scared governments so much that they are forced to address the reality. The social democratic model is not sustainable programs & spending must be cut. The big question is will Obama head figure this out before it's too late?
The sovereign debt crises has scared governments so much that they are forced to address the reality. The social democratic model is not sustainable programs & spending must be cut. The big question is will Obama head figure this out before it's too late?
Friday, June 25, 2010
Back Agian
OK its been 4 years & two kids latter. With current administration driving the country off a cliff I've found myself agitated by the news on the daily basis and then I remembered I have a blog!
Friday, August 18, 2006
Starbucks is the new Wal-mart
If the people really do not want a Starbucks in their neighborhood then the store will fail as residents patronize other establishments. But to force out an organization by government fiat is wrong. Even actors should have enough common sense to figure that out.
Thursday, August 17, 2006
Going on the domestic offensive
Pejman lays out the case and I could not agree more.
Tax reform has the best chance of being adopted it is easier to understand a simplification of the code, than Social Security reform or how school choice would work to produce a better system. Plus Pejman is correct in pointing out the broad popular support for tax reform does cut into dem leaning voting blocks.
In theory I agree with Mr. Yousefzadeh that a consumption tax would be the optimal choice however politically it would much harder to enact. A move to a Flat tax would also greatly simplify the tax system and reams of data exist as other nations have adopted this model it seems more likely to pass the congress. I only hope the administration has the stamina to push though this reform agenda.
The Bush Administration should seize on the issue of tax reform, draft a package, and push along with Congressional Republicans for approval. In doing so, the Administration and Congressional Republicans will both help their political prospects and can significantly improve the nature of tax policy.
Tax reform has the best chance of being adopted it is easier to understand a simplification of the code, than Social Security reform or how school choice would work to produce a better system. Plus Pejman is correct in pointing out the broad popular support for tax reform does cut into dem leaning voting blocks.
In theory I agree with Mr. Yousefzadeh that a consumption tax would be the optimal choice however politically it would much harder to enact. A move to a Flat tax would also greatly simplify the tax system and reams of data exist as other nations have adopted this model it seems more likely to pass the congress. I only hope the administration has the stamina to push though this reform agenda.
Personnel-wise, the current situation is a sort of perfect storm for the Bush Administration, one that may make it easier to pass a comprehensive tax reform package. The White House Chief of Staff, Josh Bolten, was Director of the Office of Management and Budget prior to taking the Chief of Staff position, and was a Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy before that. The Bush Administration has added a major player to its economic policy team in Hank Paulson, who left a lucrative and influential position as the CEO of Goldman Sachs to become Treasury Secretary. And the Administration now has former Congressman and Trade Representative Rob Portman heading up the Office of Management and Budget.
All three officials are heavyweights, well-versed in economic policy. They also know their way around political obstacles and pitfalls and can deal effectively and credibly with Congress on policy issues. In short, the President has in place a team that is primed to push for the successful enactment of a path-breaking and constructive economic policy package.
Gavin Becker on "Big Box" retailers
Becker has Great post on his blog about an attempt by the Chicago City council last month to impose more restrictions on Wal-Mart. Thankfully mayor Daily vetoed the bill.
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